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Wednesday 26 April 2017, 21:30 Municipal de Butarque Full time
3–0
HT 0–0
34% 28% 38%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
38.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 33.8% 2.96
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Las Palmas 38.4% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.41
Over 1.5 74.3% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.7% 3.89
Over 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.4% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.7% 3.74
Under 3.5 73.3% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.5% 8.01
Under 4.5 87.5% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.9% 1.85
No 46.1% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 61.6% 1.62
Leganes / Las Palmas 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Las Palmas 66.2% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
9.2
6.7
3.0
1.0
0.3
1
8.4
13.2
8.5
3.8
1.3
0.4
2
5.8
7.9
5.3
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.4
3.3
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.8
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.