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Friday 14 April 2017, 21:45 San Mamés Full time
51% 26% 23%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
23.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 51.0% 1.96
Draw 25.8% 3.88
Las Palmas 23.2% 4.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.61
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 3.5 71.2% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.22
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 76.8% 1.30
Athletic Club / Las Palmas 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Las Palmas 49.0% 2.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
6.3
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
10.4
12.3
6.1
2.1
0.6
0.1
2
9.2
9.6
5.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
5.1
5.3
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
2.1
2.2
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.