Saturday 18 March 2017, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
25%
26%
49%
Home win
25.3%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
48.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Real Madrid | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
9.8
|
8.6
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.4
|
9.5
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
6.5
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.4
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Real Madrid
4-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Real Madrid
2-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2023
Athletic Club
0-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.