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Sunday 12 March 2017, 13:00 Anoeta Full time
47% 28% 25%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
25.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 46.9% 2.13
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Athletic Club 25.3% 3.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.95
Over 1.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.4% 3.52
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.43
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 74.7% 1.34
Real Sociedad / Athletic Club 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Athletic Club 53.1% 1.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
7.7
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.5
13.2
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
9.0
9.1
4.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.4
4.5
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.