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Sunday 26 February 2017, 19:30 San Mamés Full time
63% 23% 14%
Home win
63.2%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
14.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 63.2% 1.58
Draw 22.8% 4.39
Granada CF 14.0% 7.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.21
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.02
Over 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.59
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.58
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.4% 2.16
No 53.6% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 86.0% 1.16
Athletic Club / Granada CF 77.2% 1.29
Draw / Granada CF 36.8% 2.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
4.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
12.5
10.8
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.6
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
7.8
6.1
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.7
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.