Sunday 22 January 2017, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
27%
32%
41%
Home win
27.1%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
40.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 27.1% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.0% | 7.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| No | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Atletico Madrid | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.6
|
14.6
|
8.7
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
14.1
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
5.7
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2024
Athletic Club
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Athletic Club
Dec 2023
Athletic Club
2-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.