Monday 19 December 2016, 21:45
San Mamés
Full time
54%
24%
22%
Home win
53.9%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
22.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Celta Vigo | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
4.9
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
11.1
|
6.0
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.8
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
6.2
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
2.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Athletic Club
1-1
Celta Vigo
Dec 2025
Celta Vigo
2-0
Athletic Club
Jan 2025
Celta Vigo
1-2
Athletic Club
Sep 2024
Athletic Club
3-1
Celta Vigo
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-1
Athletic Club
Nov 2023
Athletic Club
4-3
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.