Sunday 11 December 2016, 17:15
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
40%
22%
38%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
38.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 38.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.8% | 10.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| No | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Sevilla | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
3.6
|
3.9
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
3.7
|
8.3
|
7.5
|
4.8
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
7.7
|
7.3
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
5.0
|
4.7
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
2.4
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Celta Vigo
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Celta Vigo
May 2025
Celta Vigo
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2024
Sevilla
1-0
Celta Vigo
Mar 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Celta Vigo
Nov 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.