Saturday 26 November 2016, 21:45
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
67%
18%
16%
Home win
66.9%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
15.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Valencia | 15.6% | 6.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.4% | 41.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.4% | 10.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Valencia | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.4
|
2.1
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
7.1
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
8.9
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
7.8
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
5.2
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sevilla
0-2
Valencia
Dec 2025
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Valencia
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2025
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Feb 2024
Valencia
0-0
Sevilla
Aug 2023
Sevilla
1-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.