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Saturday 29 October 2016, 14:00 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
Sporting Gijon
1–1
HT 1–1
Sevilla
17% 20% 63%
Home win
16.6%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
62.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 16.6% 6.02 — —
Draw 20.5% 4.88 — —
Sevilla 62.9% 1.59 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.55 — —
Over 1.5 84.6% 1.18 — —
Under 1.5 15.4% 6.48 — —
Over 2.5 63.9% 1.56 — —
Under 2.5 36.1% 2.77 — —
Over 3.5 41.8% 2.39 — —
Under 3.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Over 4.5 23.6% 4.24 — —
Under 4.5 76.4% 1.31 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.1% 1.69 — —
No 40.9% 2.45 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 37.1% 2.69 — —
Sporting Gijon / Sevilla 79.5% 1.26 — —
Draw / Sevilla 83.4% 1.20 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
7.7
9.2
6.8
3.8
1.7
1
3.4
9.4
9.8
7.3
4.0
1.8
2
2.1
4.7
5.3
3.9
2.2
1.0
3
0.8
1.7
1.9
1.4
0.8
0.3
4
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Sporting Gijon
L L L L D
Sevilla
W L W W W

Head to head

Apr 2017 Sevilla 0-0 Sporting Gijon

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.