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Saturday 24 September 2016, 19:30 San Mamés Full time
Athletic Club
3–1
HT 1–0
Sevilla
35% 28% 37%
Home win
35.2%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
36.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 35.2% 2.84 — —
Draw 28.1% 3.55 — —
Sevilla 36.7% 2.73 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.78 — —
Over 1.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Under 1.5 26.8% 3.74 — —
Over 2.5 47.2% 2.12 — —
Under 2.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Over 3.5 25.5% 3.92 — —
Under 3.5 74.5% 1.34 — —
Over 4.5 11.7% 8.55 — —
Under 4.5 88.3% 1.13 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89 — —
No 47.1% 2.12 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 63.3% 1.58 — —
Athletic Club / Sevilla 71.9% 1.39 — —
Draw / Sevilla 64.8% 1.54 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
9.3
6.5
2.8
0.9
0.2
1
9.0
13.4
8.2
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
6.2
8.0
5.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.6
3.4
2.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.8
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Athletic Club
L L W W W
Sevilla
W D W D W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Club Aug 2025 Athletic Club 3-2 Sevilla Mar 2025 Sevilla 0-1 Athletic Club Sep 2024 Athletic Club 1-1 Sevilla May 2024 Athletic Club 2-0 Sevilla Jan 2024 Sevilla 0-2 Athletic Club

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.