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Saturday 17 September 2016, 19:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
43% 19% 39%
Home win
42.7%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
38.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 42.7% 2.34
Draw 18.6% 5.37
Sevilla 38.7% 2.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.1% 1.01
Under 0.5 0.9% 117.10
Over 1.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 1.5 3.5% 28.51
Over 2.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 2.5 11.7% 8.54
Over 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 3.5 25.2% 3.96
Over 4.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 4.5 42.5% 2.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 85.1% 1.17
No 14.9% 6.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 61.3% 1.63
Eibar / Sevilla 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Sevilla 57.3% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.9
1.3
1.9
1.6
1.0
0.5
1
1.4
4.2
5.0
4.1
2.6
1.3
2
2.1
5.2
6.5
5.3
3.3
1.7
3
1.8
4.5
5.6
4.6
2.9
1.4
4
1.2
2.9
3.6
3.0
1.9
0.9
5
0.6
1.5
1.9
1.6
1.0
0.5
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.