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Saturday 29 September 2018, 19:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–3
HT 0–0
40% 27% 33%
Home win
39.6%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
33.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 39.6% 2.53
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Sevilla 33.1% 3.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.15
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.08
Over 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Under 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 3.5 71.9% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.47
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.1% 1.82
No 44.9% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 66.9% 1.49
Eibar / Sevilla 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Sevilla 60.4% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
8.0
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
8.9
13.0
7.8
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
6.8
8.7
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.2
4.1
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.1
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.