Friday 31 August 2018, 23:00
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
41%
26%
33%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
33.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 33.2% | 3.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.5% | 6.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Eibar / Real Sociedad | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
6.9
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
12.3
|
7.9
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.8
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.5
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Eibar
0-1
Real Sociedad
Dec 2020
Real Sociedad
1-1
Eibar
Mar 2020
Eibar
1-2
Real Sociedad
Nov 2019
Real Sociedad
4-1
Eibar
Apr 2019
Real Sociedad
1-1
Eibar
Apr 2018
Eibar
0-0
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.