Saturday 18 August 2018, 21:15
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
51%
24%
25%
Home win
50.7%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Real Sociedad | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
5.3
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
11.4
|
6.5
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.7
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
5.8
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Villarreal
3-1
Real Sociedad
Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
2-3
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
2-2
Real Sociedad
Jan 2025
Real Sociedad
1-0
Villarreal
Feb 2024
Real Sociedad
1-3
Villarreal
Dec 2023
Villarreal
0-3
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.