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Saturday 28 April 2018, 17:15 Anoeta Full time
48% 26% 26%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
25.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 48.4% 2.07
Draw 25.7% 3.89
Athletic Club 25.9% 3.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 14.87
Over 1.5 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.3% 4.49
Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Over 3.5 31.0% 3.23
Under 3.5 69.0% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.4% 6.51
Under 4.5 84.6% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.0% 1.78
No 44.0% 2.28

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 74.1% 1.35
Real Sociedad / Athletic Club 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Athletic Club 51.6% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
6.3
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
9.3
12.2
6.6
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
8.3
9.5
5.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
4.6
5.3
3.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
1.9
2.2
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.