Saturday 31 March 2018, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
51%
26%
23%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
23.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.5% | 8.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Celta Vigo | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
6.7
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
12.6
|
6.0
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.5
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
5.1
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Athletic Club
1-1
Celta Vigo
Dec 2025
Celta Vigo
2-0
Athletic Club
Jan 2025
Celta Vigo
1-2
Athletic Club
Sep 2024
Athletic Club
3-1
Celta Vigo
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-1
Athletic Club
Nov 2023
Athletic Club
4-3
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.