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Saturday 3 March 2018, 17:15 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
45% 28% 27%
Home win
45.0%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
27.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 45.0% 2.22
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Athletic Club 27.3% 3.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.53
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.67
Over 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.81
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.4% 1.95
No 48.6% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 72.7% 1.38
Sevilla / Athletic Club 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Athletic Club 55.0% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
7.8
4.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
10.8
13.2
6.7
2.4
0.7
0.1
2
8.4
9.1
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
4.1
4.4
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.1
4
1.5
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.