Sunday 25 February 2018, 21:45
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
21%
30%
50%
Home win
20.5%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
49.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Atletico Madrid | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.9
|
15.6
|
11.0
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
13.2
|
8.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
4.8
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2025
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Sevilla
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2024
Atletico Madrid
4-3
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2023
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.