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Saturday 17 February 2018, 14:00 Gran Canaria Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
25% 24% 51%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
51.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 25.1% 3.99
Draw 24.0% 4.17
Sevilla 51.0% 1.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.52
Over 1.5 82.2% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.8% 5.61
Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Over 3.5 37.5% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.2% 4.95
Under 4.5 79.8% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.7% 1.65
No 39.3% 2.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 49.0% 2.04
Las Palmas / Sevilla 76.0% 1.32
Draw / Sevilla 74.9% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
7.7
7.7
4.8
2.2
0.8
1
5.0
11.0
9.6
6.0
2.8
1.0
2
3.5
6.5
6.0
3.7
1.7
0.6
3
1.5
2.7
2.5
1.5
0.7
0.3
4
0.5
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.