Sunday 28 January 2018, 17:15
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
83%
13%
4%
Home win
82.5%
Draw
13.1%
Away win
4.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.1% | 7.66 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 4.4% | 22.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 20.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| No | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Las Palmas | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
6.1
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.6
|
7.4
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.5
|
6.4
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.8
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Las Palmas
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Feb 2024
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Las Palmas
Nov 2023
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2017
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2017
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.