Saturday 29 April 2017, 19:30
Gran Canaria
Full time
20%
24%
56%
Home win
19.5%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
56.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Atletico Madrid | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
10.6
|
10.1
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.6
|
9.8
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.3
|
4.8
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.7
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Las Palmas
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Feb 2024
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Las Palmas
Nov 2023
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2018
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Las Palmas
Aug 2017
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.