Saturday 15 April 2017, 19:30
Vicente Calderón
Full time
85%
11%
4%
Home win
84.8%
Draw
11.0%
Away win
4.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
| Osasuna | 4.2% | 23.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Osasuna | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Osasuna | 15.2% | 6.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
5.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.7
|
7.3
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.6
|
7.3
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.3
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.5
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Osasuna
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Osasuna
May 2025
Osasuna
2-0
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Osasuna
May 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-4
Osasuna
Sep 2023
Osasuna
0-2
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.