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Sunday 9 April 2017, 19:30 Estadio El Sadar Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
37% 29% 35%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
34.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 36.6% 2.73
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Leganes 34.7% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.82
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.50
Over 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.6% 4.24
Under 3.5 76.4% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.55
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 65.3% 1.53
Osasuna / Leganes 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Leganes 63.4% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
9.5
6.2
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.9
13.7
7.8
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.7
8.1
4.9
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
2.8
3.4
2.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.