Sunday 19 March 2017, 13:00
Municipal de Butarque
Full time
37%
30%
33%
Home win
37.1%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
32.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Malaga | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes / Draw | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Leganes / Malaga | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
10.7
|
6.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
14.1
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
7.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.