Skip to content
Tuesday 28 February 2017, 22:30 La Rosaleda Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
49% 27% 24%
Home win
49.3%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
23.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga 49.3% 2.03
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Real Betis 23.8% 4.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.87
Over 1.5 73.3% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.7% 3.74
Over 2.5 47.2% 2.12
Under 2.5 52.8% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.6% 3.90
Under 3.5 74.4% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.7% 8.51
Under 4.5 88.3% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga / Draw 76.2% 1.31
Malaga / Real Betis 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Real Betis 50.7% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
7.0
3.9
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
11.3
12.8
6.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.3
9.4
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.8
4.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Malaga goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.