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Sunday 22 January 2017, 19:30 Benito Villamarín Full time
52% 25% 23%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 52.0% 1.92
Draw 24.9% 4.02
Sporting Gijon 23.1% 4.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.52
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.63
Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.7% 2.19
Over 3.5 32.0% 3.13
Under 3.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.23
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.8% 1.79
No 44.2% 2.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Real Betis / Sporting Gijon 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Sporting Gijon 48.0% 2.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
5.7
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
9.5
11.8
6.1
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.7
5.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
3
5.2
5.7
3.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.3
2.5
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.