Saturday 14 January 2017, 19:30
Vicente Calderón
Full time
70%
20%
11%
Home win
69.5%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
10.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Real Betis | 10.6% | 9.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Real Betis | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Betis | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
9.4
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.3
|
9.4
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.4
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.0
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Atletico Madrid
0-1
Real Betis
Oct 2025
Real Betis
0-2
Atletico Madrid
May 2025
Atletico Madrid
4-1
Real Betis
Oct 2024
Real Betis
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Real Betis
Aug 2023
Real Betis
0-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.