Saturday 7 January 2017, 17:15
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
29%
29%
43%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
42.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 9.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Eibar / Atletico Madrid | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
11.6
|
8.2
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
13.7
|
8.6
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
6.8
|
4.5
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.4
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Eibar
Jan 2021
Eibar
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2020
Eibar
2-0
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2019
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Eibar
Apr 2019
Eibar
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2018
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Eibar
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.