Sunday 11 December 2016, 13:00
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
45%
30%
25%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
25.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Alaves | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Eibar / Alaves | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
9.1
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
13.7
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.5
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Eibar
3-0
Alaves
Dec 2020
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Feb 2020
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Nov 2019
Eibar
0-2
Alaves
Mar 2019
Alaves
1-1
Eibar
Nov 2018
Eibar
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.