Saturday 29 October 2016, 17:15
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
21%
25%
54%
Home win
20.7%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
54.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.7% | 7.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Alaves / Real Madrid | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
10.9
|
10.0
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
12.0
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
5.5
|
4.8
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Madrid
2-1
Alaves
Dec 2025
Alaves
1-2
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2024
Real Madrid
3-2
Alaves
May 2024
Real Madrid
5-0
Alaves
Dec 2023
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.