Sunday 2 October 2016, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
21.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Eibar | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Eibar | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
5.9
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
12.0
|
5.8
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
5.6
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Real Madrid
2-0
Eibar
Dec 2020
Eibar
1-3
Real Madrid
Jun 2020
Real Madrid
3-1
Eibar
Nov 2019
Eibar
0-4
Real Madrid
Apr 2019
Real Madrid
2-1
Eibar
Nov 2018
Eibar
3-0
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.