Tuesday 20 September 2016, 21:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
17%
21%
62%
Home win
16.6%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
62.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 16.6% | 6.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Eibar | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Malaga / Eibar | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
8.4
|
9.6
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
| 1 |
3.7
|
9.8
|
9.9
|
7.1
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.7
|
5.1
|
3.7
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.6
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.