Saturday 10 September 2016, 19:15
La Rosaleda
Full time
8%
7%
85%
Home win
8.1%
Draw
7.4%
Away win
84.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 8.1% | 12.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 7.4% | 13.59 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.1% | 1,694.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.7% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.3% | 371.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.4% | 73.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 4.2% | 23.83 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| No | 10.0% | 9.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 15.4% | 6.48 | — | — |
| Malaga / Villarreal | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
1.0
|
1.5
|
1.7
|
| 1 |
0.1
|
0.5
|
1.2
|
2.4
|
3.4
|
3.9
|
| 2 |
0.1
|
0.5
|
1.5
|
2.8
|
4.0
|
4.6
|
| 3 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
1.1
|
2.2
|
3.1
|
3.5
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.8
|
2.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.