Sunday 12 February 2017, 13:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
59%
26%
15%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
14.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Malaga | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Malaga | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
11.7
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.4
|
8.8
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.