Sunday 8 January 2017, 19:30
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
44%
22%
34%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
34.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Malaga | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 35.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.7% | 9.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| No | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Malaga | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
3.6
|
3.6
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
8.7
|
7.2
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
8.2
|
7.2
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
5.5
|
4.8
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.7
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.