Sunday 7 May 2017, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
46%
26%
28%
Home win
46.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
28.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Malaga / Celta Vigo | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
6.2
|
4.3
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
12.1
|
7.1
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
9.4
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
5.1
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.