Sunday 18 March 2018, 19:30
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
57%
24%
19%
Home win
56.8%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
18.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Malaga | 18.9% | 5.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Malaga | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
5.5
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
11.6
|
5.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.8
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.