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Monday 19 February 2018, 22:00 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
53% 26% 21%
Home win
52.7%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
20.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 52.7% 1.90
Draw 26.3% 3.80
Celta Vigo 20.9% 4.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.58
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.66
Over 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.81
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 79.1% 1.26
Getafe / Celta Vigo 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Celta Vigo 47.3% 2.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
6.6
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
12.1
12.5
5.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.5
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.5
5.1
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.2
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.