Sunday 25 February 2018, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
54%
29%
17%
Home win
54.0%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
17.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Malaga | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.7% | 7.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| No | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Malaga | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.7
|
7.6
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
12.6
|
4.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
8.5
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Sep 2017
Malaga
3-3
Athletic Club
Mar 2017
Athletic Club
1-0
Malaga
Oct 2016
Malaga
2-1
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.