Monday 5 February 2018, 22:00
Gran Canaria
Full time
37%
28%
36%
Home win
36.5%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
35.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Malaga | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Malaga | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
8.8
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
13.3
|
8.1
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
8.2
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.6
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.