Thursday 21 December 2017, 22:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
43%
31%
27%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
26.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Malaga | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.5% | 6.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Alaves / Malaga | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.8
|
10.0
|
4.9
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
14.0
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
8.0
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.