Sunday 10 December 2017, 13:00
Anoeta
Full time
58%
22%
19%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
19.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Malaga | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 20.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Malaga | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
4.2
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
10.4
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.9
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
6.7
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Malaga
2-0
Real Sociedad
May 2017
Real Sociedad
2-2
Malaga
Jan 2017
Malaga
0-2
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.