Skip to content
Sunday 26 November 2017, 17:15 Anoeta Full time
69% 17% 14%
Home win
69.2%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
13.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 69.2% 1.44
Draw 17.2% 5.82
Las Palmas 13.6% 7.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.7% 36.51
Over 1.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.7% 9.38
Over 2.5 72.5% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.5% 3.63
Over 3.5 51.9% 1.93
Under 3.5 48.1% 2.08
Over 4.5 32.5% 3.08
Under 4.5 67.5% 1.48

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.1% 1.58
No 36.9% 2.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 86.4% 1.16
Real Sociedad / Las Palmas 82.8% 1.21
Draw / Las Palmas 30.8% 3.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
2.2
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
5.7
7.3
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
8.1
9.1
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
7.1
8.0
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
4.7
5.3
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
5
2.5
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.