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Friday 17 November 2017, 22:00 Estadi Montilivi Full time
44% 25% 31%
Home win
44.4%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
31.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 44.4% 2.25
Draw 24.5% 4.08
Real Sociedad 31.1% 3.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.76
Over 1.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.9% 5.93
Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Over 3.5 39.1% 2.56
Under 3.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.4% 4.66
Under 4.5 78.6% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.4% 1.58
No 36.6% 2.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 68.9% 1.45
Girona / Real Sociedad 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Real Sociedad 55.6% 1.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
5.4
4.3
2.0
0.7
0.2
1
6.7
11.1
7.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
2
6.4
9.1
6.5
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
3.7
5.3
3.8
1.8
0.6
0.2
4
1.6
2.3
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.