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Sunday 29 October 2017, 17:15 Estadi Montilivi Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
17% 21% 62%
Home win
17.2%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
62.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 17.2% 5.83
Draw 20.7% 4.83
Real Madrid 62.1% 1.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.55
Over 1.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.4% 6.49
Over 2.5 63.9% 1.56
Under 2.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 3.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 3.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 4.5 23.6% 4.23
Under 4.5 76.4% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.6% 1.68
No 40.4% 2.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 37.9% 2.64
Girona / Real Madrid 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Real Madrid 82.8% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
7.6
9.0
6.6
3.7
1.6
1
3.5
9.4
9.8
7.2
4.0
1.8
2
2.2
4.9
5.3
3.9
2.2
1.0
3
0.8
1.8
1.9
1.4
0.8
0.3
4
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.