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Wednesday 20 September 2017, 23:00 Santiago Bernabéu Full time
83% 11% 6%
Home win
83.4%
Draw
11.0%
Away win
5.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid 83.4% 1.20
Draw 11.0% 9.10
Real Betis 5.6% 17.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.9% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.1% 47.15
Over 1.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 1.5 8.9% 11.21
Over 2.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 2.5 23.9% 4.19
Over 3.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 3.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 4.5 37.0% 2.70
Under 4.5 63.0% 1.59

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.7% 1.90
No 47.3% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid / Draw 94.4% 1.06
Real Madrid / Real Betis 89.0% 1.12
Draw / Real Betis 16.6% 6.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.1
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
5.6
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
9.5
7.5
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
10.1
8.0
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
8.1
6.4
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
5
5.2
4.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Madrid goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.