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Sunday 17 September 2017, 21:45 Anoeta Full time
27% 22% 52%
Home win
26.8%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
51.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 26.8% 3.74
Draw 21.6% 4.64
Real Madrid 51.7% 1.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.27
Over 1.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 1.5 11.0% 9.11
Over 2.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.2% 3.54
Over 3.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 3.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 4.5 31.6% 3.16
Under 4.5 68.4% 1.46

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.2% 1.43
No 29.8% 3.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 48.3% 2.07
Real Sociedad / Real Madrid 78.4% 1.27
Draw / Real Madrid 73.2% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
4.8
5.7
4.2
2.3
1.0
1
3.3
8.6
8.9
6.4
3.5
1.5
2
2.9
6.3
6.8
5.0
2.7
1.2
3
1.5
3.2
3.5
2.5
1.4
0.6
4
0.6
1.2
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
5
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.