Wednesday 17 May 2017, 22:00
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
17%
18%
65%
Home win
16.8%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
65.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 45.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| No | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Real Madrid | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
4.5
|
6.5
|
5.8
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
| 1 |
2.1
|
6.9
|
8.7
|
7.7
|
5.1
|
2.7
|
| 2 |
1.6
|
4.3
|
5.8
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
1.8
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.9
|
2.6
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
0-2
Celta Vigo
May 2025
Real Madrid
3-2
Celta Vigo
Oct 2024
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo
Aug 2023
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.