Thursday 27 April 2017, 21:30
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
62%
21%
17%
Home win
62.0%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
17.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.0% | 6.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Celta Vigo | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
9.6
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.9
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
7.2
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Celta Vigo
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Celta Vigo
May 2025
Celta Vigo
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2024
Sevilla
1-0
Celta Vigo
Mar 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Celta Vigo
Nov 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.